Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.527144 0.582413 0.641966 0.711056 0.789200 0.875061 0.976841
2025-09-14 0.430894 0.505663 0.592252 0.700588 0.833406 0.992080 1.197719
2025-09-21 0.376180 0.459322 0.560336 0.693364 0.865823 1.084443 1.386739
2025-09-28 0.328779 0.413691 0.520701 0.667328 0.865951 1.129960 1.514807
2025-10-05 0.307302 0.397389 0.514785 0.681671 0.917257 1.244857 1.747455
2025-10-12 0.288586 0.382194 0.507816 0.692318 0.962596 1.354192 1.984031
2025-10-19 0.270915 0.366410 0.497941 0.696839 0.998120 1.451339 2.212956
2025-10-26 0.255426 0.352099 0.488441 0.700209 1.031090 1.546668 2.449924
2025-11-02 0.242873 0.340796 0.481999 0.706942 1.068963 1.652533 2.717352
2025-11-09 0.225950 0.321755 0.462478 0.691464 1.069327 1.696327 2.881298
2025-11-16 0.216373 0.312908 0.457483 0.698082 1.105845 1.803884 3.174562
2025-11-23 0.204912 0.300358 0.445756 0.692575 1.120930 1.875031 3.408145
2025-11-30 0.195953 0.291268 0.439059 0.695201 1.151000 1.977644 3.722195
2025-12-07 0.184978 0.278334 0.425350 0.684859 1.157034 2.036513 3.956459
2025-12-14 0.175657 0.267442 0.414171 0.677832 1.168123 2.105702 4.222791
2025-12-21 0.163622 0.251449 0.393530 0.652487 1.142504 2.099662 4.321220
2025-12-28 0.159777 0.248669 0.394827 0.666450 1.192955 2.252197 4.807533
2026-01-04 0.155545 0.244967 0.394248 0.676814 1.237197 2.396928 5.301443
2026-01-11 0.150599 0.239754 0.390676 0.681215 1.269741 2.520311 5.765107
2026-01-18 0.145805 0.234523 0.386717 0.684494 1.300154 2.642461 6.248692
2026-01-25 0.141815 0.230462 0.384568 0.691047 1.337954 2.785863 6.817981
2026-02-01 0.134914 0.220928 0.371949 0.675983 1.327808 2.816015 7.075812
2026-02-08 0.131489 0.217400 0.370138 0.682424 1.365364 2.964855 7.708988